Bitcoin (BTCUSD) (3-day / 8-hour Comparison)
Bitcoin has continued to stay mostly sideways, frustrating over eager traders who do not abide by the “When In Doubt, Zoom Out” rule.
These 3D candles tell a tale of some indecision, but overall, a bull-leaning one.
We see our local supports (yellow dotted lines) have been tested with good shows of support, essentially confirming their ongoing validity.
The 8hr chart shows similar signs, in a smaller range. Our orange “neutral” zone here has been providing plenty of support, even if we haven’t seen a major reaction from it. Simply holding is enough to avoid any overtly bearish signs.
Bitcoin doesn’t need to do a whole lot at the moment other than hold supports, as most attention is pointed towards Ethereum and altcoins as a whole.
Keep in mind though, in the past, during similar market conditions, Bitcoin has ruined the party by having a sudden, expansive move in either direction, which would likely result in ALT/BTC pairings bleeding out. As always, be prepared.
Ethereum (ETHUSD) (3-day / 8-hour Comparison)
Ethereum had quite the week. On our 3D chart, we’ve seen a breakout confirmed with a subsequent retest, and there’s no reason to think we won’t just keep chugging along (as long as BTC behaves).
On the 8hr chart, we see our first target met some temporary resistance, our second target was absolutely smashed, and then retested with a vigorous show of support two candles later.
Tres Bula.
The more Macro “moon level” on our 3D chart remains just shy of $7k, while our lower timeframe range’s moon level is very close by at $4,566.
Ethereum being so bullish brings more speculative money into DeFi & into alts in general; our two simple correlations continue to give evidence of just that (as if the altcoin daily gainers didn’t tell you already).
Fundamentals & Correlations
Bitcoin Dominance is now well below 51%, and has paused slightly at this “support” level around 44%. Disclaimer: Charting these correlation items is not quite as reliable as actual asset prices, but they do have some merit.
These BTC.D levels of 44%, 40%, and 39% should be noted, and if we see BTC make a move around these extreme levels, you want to be quick to act, or to have already re-allocated your capital into BTC and/or stablecoins. Seeing drastic moves in Bitcoin dominance is a very actionable data point, and it can have repercussions that happen very quickly, and evaporate recent altcoin gains if you become a bagholder. “Altszn” is in full swing, and we have to remember that these periods historically have only lasted a few weeks, so take your profits, and be ready for the next macrocycle (likely a big expansion UP or DOWN from BTC).
The USD index (DXY) gives us hope for continued upwards price movement in all markets, and in all assets/goods priced in $USD. This lower diagonal support that we’ve been watching for weeks, and that seems to have been respected until now, looks like it’s broken down. This could mean that we are soon going to see the buying power of the United States Dollar substantially diminished.
Q: What does this translate into for Stocks, Crypto, and the price of a gallon of Milk?
A: They all could be skyrocketing very soon.
